The Weekend Preview is a blog that aims to provide a different angle on the narrative of an upcoming sporting event.

The 2020 Australian Open

The 2020 Australian Open

A collection of data visualisations for the 2020 Australian Open. Updated after each round.

Round 1 Review

With all the attention on Aces at this year's Australian Open due to bushfire relief fundraising, Figure 1 and Figure 2 present the statistical summary of Aces served in the Men's and Women's singles events after Round 1.

It is also a timely reminder that more than half the matches of a Grand Slam Tennis tournament are played in Round 1. A Grand Slam singles tournament has 127 matches, with 64 of these played in Round 1.

Figure 1: Ace Distribution (Men)

Figure 1: Ace Distribution (Men)

Figure 2: Ace distribution (Women)

Figure 2: Ace distribution (Women)

Round 2 Review

Of course the number of Aces does not necessarily indicate who the best servers are. The number of Aces is affected by both how long a match is and how aggressive a player is on their first serve.

In order to have a feel of how serve speed affects the accuracy and success rate of winning points on first and second serve, consider Figures 3, 4 and 5.

Figure 3 presents the effectiveness (first serve points won) verses first serve speed in Rounds 1 & 2 of the Men’s Singles Draw. It can be seen that the general trend is that the faster the first serve the higher the success rate of winning the point.

Figure 4 presents the accuracy (first serve points in-play) verses first serve speed in Rounds 1 & 2 of the Men’s Singles Draw. It can be seen that the general trend is that the faster the first serve the lower the probability of the ball landing in-play. However, there have been some notable exceptions - Zverev, Isner and Kyrgios in particular.

Figure 3 presents the effectiveness (second serve points won) verses second serve speed in Rounds 1 & 2 of the Men’s Singles Draw. This distribution is more scattered as the second serve itself has a lower influence on the point outcome. Of greatest interest is Karlovic continuing to average close to 195 km/h on his second serve.

Figure 3: First Serve Effectiveness (Men)

Figure 3: First Serve Effectiveness (Men)

Figure 4: First Serve Accuracy (Men)

Figure 4: First Serve Accuracy (Men)

Figure 5: Second Serve Effectiveness (Men)

Figure 5: Second Serve Effectiveness (Men)

Round 3 Review

Tennis is a contest of fine margins. The winner of a tennis match will typically win between 50-60% of the match points. Higher than that represents complete dominance.

Figures 6 and 7 present the percentage of points won by the winner of each tennis match in the first 3 rounds of the Australian Open, for women and men respectively.

Interestingly, in the women's draw only one player has lost a match despite winning more points.

Figure 6: Match Dominance - Rounds 1-3 (Women)

Figure 6: Match Dominance - Rounds 1-3 (Women)

Figure 7: Match Dominance - Rounds 1-3 (Men)

Figure 7: Match Dominance - Rounds 1-3 (Men)

Quarter-Final Preview

Figure 8: Total Time Spent on Court - Rounds 1-4 (Women Quarterfinalists)

Figure 8: Total Time Spent on Court - Rounds 1-4 (Women Quarterfinalists)

Figure 9: Total Time Spent on Court - Rounds 1-4 (Men Quarterfinalists)

Figure 9: Total Time Spent on Court - Rounds 1-4 (Men Quarterfinalists)

Figure 10: Point Dominance - Rounds 1-4 (Women Quarterfinalists)

Figure 10: Point Dominance - Rounds 1-4 (Women Quarterfinalists)

Figure 11: Point Dominance - Rounds 1-4 (Men Quarterfinalists)

Figure 11: Point Dominance - Rounds 1-4 (Men Quarterfinalists)

Semi-Final Preview

Figure 12: Semi-Final Preview - Barty vs. Kenin

Figure 12: Semi-Final Preview - Barty vs. Kenin

Figure 13: Semi-Final Preview - Halep vs. Muguruza

Figure 13: Semi-Final Preview - Halep vs. Muguruza

Figure 14: Semi-Final Preview - Federer vs. Djokovic

Figure 14: Semi-Final Preview - Federer vs. Djokovic

Figure 15: Semi-Final Preview - Thiem vs. Zverev

Figure 15: Semi-Final Preview - Thiem vs. Zverev

Final Preview

Figure 16: Women’s Final Preview - Historical Dominance

Figure 16: Women’s Final Preview - Historical Dominance

Figure 16: Women’s Final Preview - Kenin vs. Muguruza

Figure 16: Women’s Final Preview - Kenin vs. Muguruza

Figure 17: Men’s Final Preview - Thiem vs. Djokovic

Figure 17: Men’s Final Preview - Thiem vs. Djokovic

Tournament Review

About two-thirds of matches were won by the player who accumulated less unforced errors.

Even in defeat, Wozniacki did what she does best in her final ever match.

Figure 18: AO Women’s Review - Unforced Error Differential

Figure 18: AO Women’s Review - Unforced Error Differential

A similar story for the Men's Singles.

Although, poor John Millman will be cursing himself that he didn't get the job done against Federer.

Figure 19: AO Men’s Review - Unforced Error Differential

Figure 19: AO Men’s Review - Unforced Error Differential

2019 Tour de France - Points Classification

2019 Tour de France - Points Classification